Maths · chapter-wise PYQs

Probability: JEE Main 2026 PYQs

Every 2026 Session 2 question on this chapter, in one place.

Last updated: 26 October 2026

Direct answer

JEE Main 2026 asked 9 questions on Probability across 9 shifts (Session 2).

Revise the chapter first: Probability notes and formulas. Then solve these without looking at solutions.

Practise

Probability questions

Questions are transcribed from NTA's official question paper. Diagrams are described in words; open the official PDF to see them. Every answer was solved twice independently and is shown only when both agree. Where they did not, we say so.

2 April 2026 Shift 1, Q23 · Q23 · Numerical · Probability · Medium

Let a, b, $c \in \{1, 2, 3, 4\}$. If the probability, that $ax^2 + 2\sqrt{2}bx + c > 0$ for all $x \in R$, is $\frac{m}{n}$, $\gcd(m, n) = 1$, then $m+n$ is equal to _________.

Show answer and solution

Answer under review. Our two independent solutions did not agree, so we are not showing an answer yet. Check it against NTA's final answer key.

Key idea: Quadratic inequalities and probability - condition for quadratic to be always positive using discriminant

2 April 2026 Shift 2, Q8 · Q8 · MCQ · Probability · Medium

A man throws a fair coin repeatedly. He gets 10 points for each head he throws and 5 points for each tail he throws. If the probability that he gets exactly 30 points is $\frac{m}{n}$, gcd $(m, n) = 1$, then $m + n$ is equal to:

  1. (1) 53
  2. (2) 55
  3. (3) 107
  4. (4) 105
Show answer and solution

Answer: Option (3)

Key idea: Probability with constraints - finding all possible outcomes satisfying a linear equation and computing total probability

  1. Set up equation: $10H + 5T = 30$ where $H$ = heads, $T$ = tails. Simplify to $T = 6 - 2H$
  2. Find valid cases: $H \in \{0, 1, 2, 3\}$ gives $(H,T) \in \{(0,6), (1,4), (2,2), (3,0)\}$
  3. Calculate probabilities: $P(H=0,T=6) = \binom{6}{0}(\frac{1}{2})^6 = \frac{1}{64}$, $P(H=1,T=4) = \binom{5}{1}(\frac{1}{2})^5 = \frac{10}{64}$
  4. Continue: $P(H=2,T=2) = \binom{4}{2}(\frac{1}{2})^4 = \frac{24}{64}$, $P(H=3,T=0) = \binom{3}{3}(\frac{1}{2})^3 = \frac{8}{64}$
  5. Sum all probabilities: $\frac{1+10+24+8}{64} = \frac{43}{64}$. Since $\gcd(43,64)=1$, we have $m=43, n=64$
  6. Therefore $m + n = 43 + 64 = 107$

4 April 2026 Shift 1, Q21 · Q21 · Numerical · Probability · Medium

A coin is tossed 8 times. If the probability that exactly 4 heads appear in the first six tosses and exactly 3 heads appear in the last five tosses is $p$, then $96p$ is equal to _____.

Show answer and solution

Answer: 9

Key idea: Conditional Probability with Overlapping Events

  1. Identify overlapping tosses: First 6 tosses are positions 1-6, last 5 tosses are positions 4-8. Positions 4, 5, 6 overlap.
  2. Set up equations: Let $y$ = heads in positions 4-6. Then heads in positions 1-3 is $x = 4-y$ and heads in positions 7-8 is $z = 3-y$.
  3. Find valid range: From constraints $x, z \geq 0$ and $x \leq 3, y \leq 3, z \leq 2$, we get $1 \leq y \leq 3$.
  4. Count favorable outcomes: For $y=1$: $C(3,3) \cdot C(3,1) \cdot C(2,2) = 3$; For $y=2$: $C(3,2) \cdot C(3,2) \cdot C(2,1) = 18$; For $y=3$: $C(3,1) \cdot C(3,3) \cdot C(2,0) = 3$. Total = 24.
  5. Calculate probability: $p = \frac{24}{2^8} = \frac{24}{256} = \frac{3}{32}$
  6. Find final answer: $96p = 96 \times \frac{3}{32} = 3 \times 3 = 9$

4 April 2026 Shift 2, Q21 · Q21 · Numerical · Probability · Medium

From a month of 31 days, 3 different dates are selected at random. If the probability that these dates are in an increasing A.P. is equal to $\frac{a}{b}$, where $a, b \in \mathbb{N}$ and $gcd(a, b) = 1$, then $a + b$ is equal to

Show answer and solution

Answer: 944

Key idea: Counting favorable outcomes in arithmetic progressions and probability

  1. Total ways to select 3 dates from 31: $\binom{31}{3} = \frac{31 \times 30 \times 29}{6} = 4495$
  2. For dates in increasing A.P.: Let them be $a, a+d, a+2d$ where $1 \leq a \leq 31-2d$ and $d \geq 1$
  3. Maximum $d = 15$ (when $a=1, a+2d=31$). For each $d$, number of A.P.s = $31-2d$
  4. Favorable outcomes = $\sum_{d=1}^{15}(31-2d) = 29+27+25+\cdots+1 = \frac{15 \times 30}{2} = 225$
  5. Probability = $\frac{225}{4495} = \frac{45}{899}$ (after dividing by GCD = 5)
  6. Since $\gcd(45, 899) = 1$, we have $a=45, b=899$, so $a+b = 944$

5 April 2026 Shift 1, Q7 · Q7 · MCQ · Probability · Medium

A letter is known to have arrived by post either from KANPUR or from ANANTPUR. On the envelope just two consecutive letters AN are visible. The probability, that the letter came from ANANTPUR, is:

  1. (1) $\frac{7}{10}$
  2. (2) $\frac{10}{17}$
  3. (3) $\frac{12}{19}$
  4. (4) $\frac{7}{19}$
Show answer and solution

Answer: Option (2)

Key idea: Bayes' Theorem and Conditional Probability

  1. Identify consecutive letter pairs: KANPUR has 5 pairs (KA, AN, NP, PU, UR) with 1 'AN', ANANTPUR has 7 pairs (AN, NA, AN, NT, TP, PU, UR) with 2 'AN's
  2. Assume equal prior probabilities: $P(\text{KANPUR}) = P(\text{ANANTPUR}) = \frac{1}{2}$
  3. Find conditional probabilities: $P(\text{AN}|\text{KANPUR}) = \frac{1}{5}$ and $P(\text{AN}|\text{ANANTPUR}) = \frac{2}{7}$
  4. Calculate total probability: $P(\text{AN}) = \frac{1}{5} \cdot \frac{1}{2} + \frac{2}{7} \cdot \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{10} + \frac{1}{7} = \frac{17}{70}$
  5. Apply Bayes' theorem: $P(\text{ANANTPUR}|\text{AN}) = \frac{\frac{2}{7} \cdot \frac{1}{2}}{\frac{17}{70}} = \frac{\frac{1}{7}}{\frac{17}{70}} = \frac{10}{17}$

5 April 2026 Shift 2, Q8 · Q8 · MCQ · Probability · Easy

The probabilities that players A and B of a team are selected for the captaincy for a tournament are 0.6 and 0.4, respectively. If A is selected the captain, the probability that the team wins the tournament is 0.8 and if B is selected the captain, the probability that the team wins the tournament is 0.7. Then the probability, that the team wins the tournament, is:

  1. (1) 0.74
  2. (2) 0.76
  3. (3) 0.72
  4. (4) 0.78
Show answer and solution

Answer: Option (2)

Key idea: Law of Total Probability

  1. Identify given probabilities: $P(A) = 0.6$, $P(B) = 0.4$, $P(W|A) = 0.8$, $P(W|B) = 0.7$
  2. Apply Law of Total Probability: $P(W) = P(W|A) \cdot P(A) + P(W|B) \cdot P(B)$
  3. Calculate first term: $P(W|A) \cdot P(A) = 0.8 \times 0.6 = 0.48$
  4. Calculate second term: $P(W|B) \cdot P(B) = 0.7 \times 0.4 = 0.28$
  5. Add both terms: $P(W) = 0.48 + 0.28 = 0.76$

6 April 2026 Shift 1, Q10 · Q10 · MCQ · Probability · Medium

A bag contains $(N + 1)$ coins $-$ N fair coins, and one coin with 'Head' on both sides. A coin is selected at random and tossed. If the probability of getting 'Head' is $\frac{9}{16}$, then N is equal to:

  1. (1) $5$
  2. (2) $7$
  3. (3) $8$
  4. (4) $9$
Show answer and solution

Answer: Option (2)

Key idea: Law of Total Probability

  1. Identify: Total coins = $N+1$ (N fair coins + 1 double-headed coin)
  2. Apply law of total probability: $P(\text{Head}) = P(\text{fair coin}) \times P(H|\text{fair}) + P(\text{double-headed}) \times P(H|\text{double-headed})$
  3. Substitute values: $P(\text{Head}) = \frac{N}{N+1} \times \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{N+1} \times 1$
  4. Simplify: $P(\text{Head}) = \frac{N}{2(N+1)} + \frac{2}{2(N+1)} = \frac{N+2}{2(N+1)}$
  5. Set equal to given probability: $\frac{N+2}{2(N+1)} = \frac{9}{16}$
  6. Cross-multiply and solve: $16(N+2) = 18(N+1) \Rightarrow 16N + 32 = 18N + 18 \Rightarrow 2N = 14$
  7. Therefore: $N = 7$

6 April 2026 Shift 2, Q9 · Q9 · MCQ · Probability · Medium

A bag contains $6$ blue and $6$ green balls. Pairs of balls are drawn without replacement until the bag is empty. The probability that each drawn pair consists of one blue and one green ball is :

  1. (1) $\frac{63}{925}$
  2. (2) $\frac{17}{231}$
  3. (3) $\frac{16}{231}$
  4. (4) $\frac{64}{925}$
Show answer and solution

Answer: Option (3)

Key idea: Probability with combinations and arrangements

  1. We have 6 blue and 6 green balls. We draw 6 pairs without replacement.
  2. **Total arrangements**: Arrange 6 B's and 6 G's in 12 positions where positions form pairs: $(1,2), (3,4), (5,6), (7,8), (9,10), (11,12)$. Total = $\binom{12}{6} = 924$
  3. **Favorable arrangements**: Each pair must have exactly 1 blue and 1 green ball.
  4. For each of the 6 pairs, choose which position gets blue (other gets green): $2^6 = 64$ ways
  5. **Probability** = $\frac{64}{924} = \frac{16}{231}$

8 April 2026 Shift 2, Q6 · Q6 · MCQ · Probability · Medium

A candidate has to go to the examination centre to appear in an examination. The candidate uses only one means of transportation for the entire distance out of bus, scooter and car. The probabilities of the candidate going by bus, scooter and car, respectively, are $\frac{2}{5}$, $\frac{1}{5}$ and $\frac{2}{5}$. The probabilities that the candidate reaches late at the examination centre are $\frac{1}{5}$, $\frac{1}{3}$ and $\frac{1}{4}$ if the candidate uses bus, scooter and car, respectively. Given that the candidate reached late at the examination centre, the probability that the candidate travelled by bus is:

  1. (1) $\frac{11}{37}$
  2. (2) $\frac{12}{37}$
  3. (3) $\frac{13}{37}$
  4. (4) $\frac{14}{37}$
Show answer and solution

Answer: Option (2)

Key idea: Bayes' Theorem and Law of Total Probability

  1. Identify given probabilities: $P(B) = \frac{2}{5}$, $P(S) = \frac{1}{5}$, $P(C) = \frac{2}{5}$ and $P(L|B) = \frac{1}{5}$, $P(L|S) = \frac{1}{3}$, $P(L|C) = \frac{1}{4}$
  2. Apply law of total probability: $P(L) = P(L|B) \cdot P(B) + P(L|S) \cdot P(S) + P(L|C) \cdot P(C)$
  3. Calculate: $P(L) = \frac{1}{5} \cdot \frac{2}{5} + \frac{1}{3} \cdot \frac{1}{5} + \frac{1}{4} \cdot \frac{2}{5} = \frac{2}{25} + \frac{1}{15} + \frac{1}{10}$
  4. Convert to common denominator (150): $P(L) = \frac{12}{150} + \frac{10}{150} + \frac{15}{150} = \frac{37}{150}$
  5. Apply Bayes' theorem: $P(B|L) = \frac{P(L|B) \cdot P(B)}{P(L)} = \frac{\frac{2}{25}}{\frac{37}{150}} = \frac{2}{25} \times \frac{150}{37} = \frac{12}{37}$
FAQs

Frequently asked questions

How many questions come from Probability in JEE Main?

In the 9 shifts of JEE Main 2026 Session 2 we found 9 questions on it, about 1.0 per shift.

Where can I practise Probability PYQs for free?

On this page, with solutions. For more, use NTA Abhyas and our free mock tests.

WA✎
Sitemap